Above is a graph from the React-2 study of anti-bodies showing that each of the three peaks of the epidemic, that the lockups occurred after the epidemic had peaked and started to decline. As such the lockup did not cause the peak, nor did it reduce the size of the peak, nor did it cause the epidemic to deline. If they had any effect, it was at best marginal at the end of the epidemic after it had been naturally controlled without (illegal) government lockups.

For a full discussion by Professor Tim Spector, principal investigator at ZOE; Professor Simon Wood, from the University of Edinburgh see: